VKZ VGChartz - und Prognosenthread

1. Ich würde abwarten. Ich kann mir nicht vorstellen das "non-coregamer" 150€ für Kinect ausgeben würden.
Und das es bei amazon.de schon "ausverkauft" ist und nichtmal in den TOP20 war kann man drauf schließen das es sich um künstliche knappheit handelt

2. Welche Exclusivtitel den? Halo Reach? Das ist schon drausen und die VKZ sind ungefäht auf dem gleichen Niveau.

3. Ich vermute mal würde die PS3 wieder einen Price-Cut bekommen wäre der Effekt größer als bei der Xbox360.

zu1. kinect ist unberechenbar, die einführung wird einen boost bringen aber langfristig müssen bessere spiele und ein günstiger kinect preis her.

zu2. exclusivspiele bringen diese gen auch nur kurzzeitige steigerungen

zu3.damit wird der markt auch 2011 bestimmt
 
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America's Preorders Chart, 23 October 2010 - Fable III
RSS by William D'Angelo 6 hours ago, 1972 views

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Overview – Four games are in their final week before release as the big holiday releases will be out this week or within the next five to six weeks. Fable III (X360) is this week’s big release as the game adds over 200,000 pre-orders. Eleven games have over 100,000 pre-orders and 23 have over 50,000.

Games in final week before release – Four games are in their final week before release with two of them in the top 10.

Fable III

Fable III (X360) is the top game in its final week before release. The game received 212,000 pre-orders this week more than any other game. The game reaches a final total of 783,000, as it is currently the second most pre-ordered game on the chart. Expect first week sales in America to be in the 1 million to 1.25 million range and worldwide to be in the 1.5 to 1.8 million range.

Star Wars: The Force Unleashed II for the Xbox 360 and PlayStation 3 adds a combined 30,000 pre-orders this week for a final total of 292,000. Expect first week combined sales inAmerica to be in the 350,000 to 450,000 range.

Rock Band 3 for the X360 and PS3 adds 29,000 pre-orders in its final week for a total of 149,000. Expect combined first week sales in America to be the 200,000 to 250,000 range.

WWE SmackDown vs. Raw 2011 for the X360 and PS3 the fourth and final game in its final week before release adds another 26,000 pre-orders for a grand total of 124,000. Expect first week sales in America to be in the 150,000 to 200,000 range.

Other Hot Games – In order of release.

BO vs MW2

Call of Duty: Black Ops pre-orders for the Xbox 360 and PlayStation 3 versions combined have passed the 2 million mark. However having said that the gap between it and Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 2 at the same number of weeks before release has shrunk considerably. The gap is now down to 84,000 from 266,000 the previous week.

Epic Mickey

Disney Epic Mickey (Wii) pre-orders are rising as it adds 13,000 this week for a total of 87,000. With six weeks left until release the game is on track to passing the 150,000 mark.

Gran Turismo 5

Gran Turismo 5 (PS3) pre-orders have stalled after the game was delayed to an unknown date later this year. The game only added 1,000 pre-order this week for a total of 227,000.

Also in the top 10: World of WarCraft: Cataclysm for the PC adds 20,000 pre-orders as it hits 401,000 pre-orders to date, with seven weeks until release. The game is on track to surpass 500,000 pre-orders in the next four to five weeks.

Assassin’s Creed: Brotherhood for the X360 and PS3 adds 32,000 combined pre-orders for a total of 378,000. The game has a 50:50 chance of passing 500,000 pre-orders, as it is currently four weeks from its launch.

Kinect Adventures! pre-orders slow to 4,000 this week, for a total of 180,000. The game is currently two weeks from release and it will be difficult for it to pass 200,000 pre-orders by release.

Notable mentions outside the top 10: Donkey Kong Country Returns (Wii) adds 14,000 pre-orders this week for a total of 92,000. Need for Speed: Hot Pursuit for the PS3 and X360 adds a combined 19,000 pre-orders for a total of 137,000. God of War: Ghost of Sparta (PSP) adds 9,000 pre-orders for a total of 55,000.

The Top 30 can be seen below or click here to go to the pre-orders page.
Pos Name Console Weeks Change Total
1 Call of Duty: Black Ops X360 3 183,371 1,344,196
2 Fable III X360 1 212,046 783,331
3 Call of Duty: Black Ops PS3 3 41,482 658,731
4 World of Warcraft: Cataclysm PC 7 20,237 400,973
5 Gran Turismo 5 PS3 N/A 1,832 227,341
6 Assassin's Creed: Brotherhood X360 4 27,554 194,330
7 Assassin's Creed: Brotherhood PS3 4 14,436 183,676
8 Kinect Adventures! X360 2 3,641 180,455
9 Star Wars: The Force Unleashed II X360 1 23,474 166,355
10 Star Wars: The Force Unleashed II PS3 1 16,578 126,070
11 LittleBigPlanet 2 PS3 13 3,426 101,314
12 Rock Band 3 X360 1 21,208 99,183
13 Donkey Kong Country Returns Wii 5 14,285 92,206
14 Disney Epic Mickey Wii 6 12,942 87,308
15 Need for Speed: Hot Pursuit PS3 4 8,876 69,874
16 Need for Speed: Hot Pursuit X360 4 10,474 67,292
17 WWE SmackDown vs. Raw 2011 X360 1 16,075 65,654
18 Gears of War 3 X360 N/A 3,514 62,410
19 WWE SmackDown vs. Raw 2011 PS3 1 10,123 58,532
20 Diablo III PC N/A 2,636 57,365
21 God of War: Ghost of Sparta PSP 2 9,472 55,359
22 Rock Band 3 PS3 1 8,491 55,076
23 Tom Clancy's Ghost Recon: Future Soldier X360 N/A 2,394 53,898
24 GoldenEye 007 Wii 2 9,660 49,994
25 Pokémon Black / White Version DS N/A 7,971 49,472
26 Call of Duty: Black Ops Wii 3 9,602 49,036
27 Kinect Sports X360 2 5,082 48,858
28 The Legend of Zelda: Skyward Sword Wii N/A 3,241 48,806
29 Mario vs. Donkey Kong: Mini-Land Mayhem! DS 4 7,055 42,054
30 Call of Duty: Black Ops PC 3 2,825 41,487
 
Damit steht fest, die XBox360 gewinnt dieses Jahr :goodwork:

Pachter predicts Wii Xmas victory

Outspoken analyst thinks the Christmas market will prove fruitful for family-friendly machine

Despite the sharp drop in sales that Wii has endured throughout 2010, US analyst Michael Pachter still expects Nintendo’s machine to be the best selling home console over the crucial Christmas buying period.

Last month MCV reported that GAME has to date this year experienced a 40 per cent year-on-year decline in Wii console sales, and Nintendo itself has admitted that if Wii fails to pick-up momentum this Q4 it will cause “trouble” for the company’s platform business.

“I don't think that Nintendo's holiday season is in trouble at all,” Pachter told Industry Gamers. “The Wii has dropped from first to third, but the new models for Xbox 360 and the launch of PS3 Move had something to do with that, and it's likely only temporary.

“I think that Mr. Iwata is right when he says that the Wii is more of a holiday purchase, as the core audience has long been satisfied, and the more casual audience comprises the much larger portion of the addressable market.

“With effective marketing, a slew of great games, and some likely support at retail, I expect the Wii to once again become the best selling console in November and December.”
http://www.mcvuk.com/news/41509/Pachter-predicts-Wii-Xmas-victory
 
Hab ich was verpasst? In dem Bericht gehts um die Wii und Pachter vermutet das die Wii das Weihnachtsgeschäft dominieren wird! :ugly:
 
Patcher sagt die Wii wird dominieren, dann wird sicher die PS3 oder 360 gewinnen :)
 
Wodurch ist die Wii denn so gestiegen?

Edit: Ach ja, die rote Wii ist in Europa erschienen.
 
hab grad auf ner anderen seite gelesen, dass die 360 "nur" mio konsolen mehr verkauft hat als die ps3.. ist das tatsächlich so?
hab mich länger nicht mehr mit vkz beschäftigt, aber eher vermutet, dass die 360 den vorsprung zur ps3 in diesem jahr eher etwas ausgebaut hat..
 
ja, ist schon klar.. aber bei den genialen bundles, die es überall gibt + redesign hätte ich eigentlich echt gedacht, dass die 360 noch weiter davon gezogen wäre..
mein post soll jetzt übrigens keine großartige diskussion verursachen, wollte nur wissen ob die zahlen stimmen ;)
@evilernie: ob die xbox jetzt wegzieht oder doch noch eingeholt wird, ist ja eigentlich relativ uninteressant.. hauptsache die ps3 verkauft sich stark genug und spielt wieder ein wenig geld in sonys kassen ein..
das würde ich vor allem den vielen genialen entwicklerstudios unter sony gönnen, da diese ja am meisten von steigenden hardwarezahlen profitieren sollten..
 
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