Unlike almost all stories with a questionmark in the headline, the answer to this one is "yes". (Apologies, the thumbnail is out of focus. Click for the full size, in-focus version.)
Now, despite the PS3 being the fastest-selling console in the UK in the history of, oh, history, by any objective estimation it's still a bloody pricey bit of kit, especially in the UK.
But here's the thing: it doesn't really need a Blu-ray drive to do its stuff. Oh, sure, "store the game.." Tell us, how big are those games really? You don't need a Blu-ray disc to store them. Else why have a teraflop processor inside?
In retrospect, it's clear that Sony took a very considered decision to make the PS3 as late as it could, as pricey as it could, in order to get the Blu-ray drive inside it. The reason: Sony can make far more money in the coming decades from Blu-ray than from the PS3. Remember, Sony owns a film studio too. Going for Blu-ray might reduce piracy. (We only said might.)
If the Xbox 360 had come with an HD DVD drive, then that format would have got the whole war settled - done and dusted. Except the Xbox360 wouldn't have sold anything like the 10 million it has; you'd be lucky if it had sold a quarter of that, because the price would have been vast.
The shot above is from a slide prepared for Sony by the research company Understanding & Solutions. It shows high-definition market growing fast in a couple of years. But it won't get there if there are two formats competing for it, or if nobody goes there because nobody has won.
I spoke last week to Matt Brown, who is a former Dreamworks executive who now works for Sony in the UK and Europe aiming to get Blu-ray sold. And he's happy. Blu-ray players now outnumber HD DVD in Europe -
because of the PS3. Blu-ray players outnumber HD DVD players in North America.
If you include the PS3. And that's the key. People buy HD DVD drives because they really want them; they don't buy Blu-ray drives - they find them inside their PS3, which is sold on the basis that it offers high definition. Brown was very happy: Blu-ray titles, he said, are now outselling HD DVD by 3 to 1.
(Sony's figures suggest that by the end of this year there will be 6.5m Blu-ray players in North America, vs 1.63m HD DVD players; and in Europe, nearly 4m Blu-ray players vs
55,000 HD DVD players. The gap doesn't close. Of course, that includes PS3s. I'd bet that in fact the majority will be PS3s. In Europe, it forecasts Blu-ray films and discs outselling HD DVD ones by 10 to 1 by 2009.
The news that the
Xbox 360 Elite won't include an HD DVD drive means that, in my view HD DVD hasn't got a chance. It won't get the critical mass, or even a rolling start. Microsoft, which backed HD DVD, will lose.
It may be that following last Friday's launch that this means the high-definition video wars are already over. Yet the intriguing thing is that Blu-ray is the format that
Bill Gates rejected because he felt it was too restrictive. So think, as you play on your shiny new PS3, how you've been a player in one of the most valuable format wars in years - and you helped decide the winner. And don't ask how you play the film on multiple TVs at once. You can't. That's the DRM. Enjoy!